Saturday 24 May 2014

Why Mr. Nawaz Sharif is not so shareef”.

As it is now confirmed that Nawaz Sharif would be attending Modi’s oath taking ceremony on Monday, it might sound a good move or gesture on Modi’s behalf to reach out to Pakistani counterpart along with other SAARC nations. But why did it take Mr. Sharif so much time to accept the invitation that to for just a ceremony? Let me analyse it for you.
It’s a no brainer that the Pakistan Government runs in the shadow of Pakistani Army and ISI, the PM more or less is just a puppet of the Army. Since independence, it was in 2013 when there Prime Minister Raja Pervez Ashraf completed its 5 year term as elected government for the first time! Thanks to Pressure from US and other allies of western world which cautioned the Army from interfering with the Govt. That is success rate of Pakistani Democracy. Coming to Mr. Sharif in specific he was the PM twice before getting elected last year, but unfortunately he could not complete his full term in office even once. Both the times he was unceremoniously booted out of office by the army in 1993 by General Abdul Vahied Kakar and by General Musharaf in 1999. In 1997, Sharif and his Pakistan Muslim League (PML-N) won a landslide victory in the elections, defeating Benazir Bhutto and her People's party. Commenting on his victory, the Pakistan media and the people of Pakistan hoped that Sharif would provide a conservative but a stable government benefit for Pakistan as he promised earlier. Besides Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, no other leader, in the history of Pakistan, has enjoyed his level of popularity, and received the exclusive mandate from all over the Pakistan to improve the all over conditions in Pakistan at same time.
By now you could conclude how bad the situation of Democracy in Pakistan is. Mr. Sharif during his election speeches made the same old rhetoric of having friendly relations with India, resolving the Kashmir Issue, Siachen issue, Sir Creek etc. He also offered to support India as Most Favored Nation in the UN. This all might sound music to Indian and Indian media who are having orgasm’s thinking of India-Pakistan will finally forget the past and be friends again. Quite laughable and ridiculous to say so, here it is why Mr. Sharif is not a free agent as far as India is concerned. There is a brutal veto in the form of Pakistani generals, despite his big announcements on normalizing ties with India during the election campaign; Sharif really can't act without the intervention of the military. It’s the ISI and Army which calls the shots from Islamabad. So no matter what the civilians think of relations with India, Pakistani Army, ISI, religions fundamentals like LeT will never like Pakistan to have good relations with India for decades to come, this you can take it in writing from me. Some of the reasons why India and Pakistan can never be in good relations are.
  1. First and most important thing to understand is Mr. Sharif is no angel; he was the same man who gave thumbs up to Kargil in 1999. Which, obviously he would deny now and shift the blame to Mr. Musharaf. Also, his brother who is the CM of Punjab state has close ties with Taliban and LeT, So please tread carefully with Pakistan because the snake is lurking in the grass and waiting to strike on any chance it gets.
  2. As I said previously that the Army and ISI are the real government of Pakistan, they are so power full that they could give Osama-bin-laden shelter in Abbott bad and the government did not even have news about it. Pakistani Army is such a rouge organisation that just can’t digest the fact that civil government wants to have normal ties with India hence it employees the so called non-state actors like Jamat ul dawa or LeT to sponsor terror in India and sabotage the entire peace process with Pakistan. 
  3. Any normal relations with India mean Army and ISI is out of Business, that is the reason why even before Mr. Sharif was about to accept the invitation by Modi they sent terrorist to strike at Indian Diplomatic Office in Heart, Afghanistan. It was a warning from Army to Mr. Sharif about the consequences if he accepts the Invitation. In other words they reminded Mr. Sharif what General Musharaf did to him in 1999 when he was tried to build good relations with India, this did not go well with the Army and three months later Kargil happened and the rest as you know is history. Where Mr. Sharif’s government was thrown out and general Musharaf took over Pakistan. So, If Mr. Sharif wants to come to Delhi he must ensure that he has got his return ticket “confirmed” back to Islamabad and not travel on a “waiting list ticket”
  4. The China factor: As China grows its Economic, and Military influence over the Asian region it’s inevitable to observe how it would react to the growing bilateral ties between India and Pakistan. China is averse to see India’s economic growth and its influence over south Asian countries, because China’s aim is to be world number 1 and the only two countries which are capable to stop it is America and china. In the past decade we have seen that china has been warming up to Pakistan but in turn gave a tough time to Indian establishment on its north east borders and in South China Sea where ONGC was exploring oil. It has also not lost a single opportunity to make friends with our neighbors be it Sri Lanka, Maldives, Thailand, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Nepal, and Tibet. We have had very strained relations with all these countries in the past decade, the only friends we had were Thailand where they managed to stage a coup, and they are trying very hard meddle with Japan in south china sea over a small group of Islands. In other words we can say that we have shot in our own foot by holding on to our ego rather than extending a hand of friendship with our neighbors. China would certainly not be impressed if India and Pak move ahead.

There are Waziristan, Baluchistan, and the biggest of them is Afghanistan, what happens when US withdraws its troops from there in 2015? There are endless topics which are tinkering in the peace process between India and Pakistan which are sown by the Pakistani Army and ISI, no doubt the civilians want to have better relations with India but the question is will Mr. Sharif have the spine to say army and ISI to stay away.

Mr. Modi deal cautiously with Mr. Not So Sharif. 

Sunday 18 May 2014

Mission 272+ accomplished.

16 May 2014 will go down as a momentous Victory Day in India's history. The day the nation broke its shackles and attained deliverance from the corrupt, communal and colonial UPA government headed by the Italian branch of the Nehru-Gandhi family, which has bled our country by several thousands of crores during the last decade. This has been the mother of all victories, stunning the Congress into a deathly silence. With their miserable tally of 44 seats, they cannot even aspire to lead the Opposition. Such was the pathetic performance by congress that the entire cabinet of Mr. Manmohan Sing lost all their seats and some even their deposits, those outstanding performers who lost there deposits were Salman Khurshid, Karti Chidumbarum. Adding to woes of congress even AAP there subsidiary and it’s leader “Shree 420” or “AK 49” as Modi fondly calls him also could not come to his masters rescue, winning just 4 seats outside Delhi and losing deposits in 423 seats. Not to forget its also a defeat of the gossip mongers of 160+ club in BJP, it’s time that they simply surrender to the mighty and fall in line. This is not just a victory of a tea seller or a politically nobody but a victory of ever commoner who was again and again insulted by the congress and its ministers who went on to the extent of saying “poverty is a state of mind” to “you need just 12 rupees to feed your stomach” to “calling Osamaji” and visiting the house of terrorist in UP. This is the victory of the suppressed, abused, forgotten, and most importantly the anger of the countrymen.
From those two seats in 1984 to 282 in 2014, the BJP has indeed come a long way. The Narender Modi wave or Tsunami whatever you would like to call was so huge that it has sweeped the entire North India sparing J&K, one surprise result which sent shock waves thorough out the secular brigade was UP and Bihar, what a splendid performance 73 and 31 respectively. But, mind you, unlike 1984, no riot, not even a minor communal skirmish, has framed the Modi mandate. No attempt was made to whip up religious passions. The singular focus was on ~vikas~, though, the non-BJP parties, in sheer desperation, did try to inject the communal and caste card in the latter stages of the campaign, but, happily, all in vain. Modi, more than his party, had hard-sold himself as the harbinger of development. That alone would explain the depth and breadth of the BJP victory. Aspiration India identified with him like it did with no other leader before, with the sole exception perhaps of Indira Gandhi in 1971. In 1984 the BJP was reduced to two seats, the Congress Party has ended up with its lowest ever tally in 2014. A mere 45 seats in the Lok Sabha may have put in jeopardy its status as the recognized opposition party as well. The joke going around on twitter and other social media is that “time has take a full circle; from struggling to stitch an coalition for forming a government to now get a status of opposition” Since, by all accounts, this spectacular defeat was self-made, you would imagine that the party would do some serious introspection, an honest appraisal of the humiliating loss, a dispassionate post-mortem of Vote 2014. But all of this is conspicuous for its absence.
Instead, you see the usual attempt to shift the blame from the high command to everyone else, well when was the last time the Gandhi were blamed for defeat? As usual it’s the Congress culture to credit the victories to Gandhi’s, but blame everyone else for defeat and a crude attempt to accuse the winners for having stolen the mandate on false pretexts, or even a barely veiled attempt to blame the voters for succumbing to the alleged money power of the Mody campaign. If money alone could win elections, the Congress was assured of permanence in power not just in Delhi but throughout the country. For, who can match the vast riches of the Congress families? Ironically, such ill-gotten riches have contributed immensely to the fall of the party to the status of an also-ran in the latest poll. Corruption, after all, was a significant factor in the huge drubbing of the Congress, though consumer inflation was the single-most important reason.
The UPA ensured the unity of their coalition through their adharma of corruption. By allocating spheres of corruption to each constituent, they ensured their continuity, confident also that religious division and vote banks that they engineered would blot out their plunder at the next election. They couldn't have been more misguided. The entire nation rejoices and salutes India's new Prime Minister, Narender Modi, who after a tireless and grueling campaign of almost two years has received an unprecedented, historic mandate from the people of India to lead our country.
I must also congratulate all the volunteers of mission 272+, the scores of youngsters who right from the start have consistently supported Narender Modi for Prime Ministership. And it has happened just as we forecast and hoped, and Narender Modi will be Prime Minister of the country, despite the hatred, calumny and lies that was disseminated about him in the most diabolical and calculated manner. But he fought them all and won.